Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Johnston 51.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 92.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.1%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.8%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Dowd
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dowd
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Dowd
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
52.6% (696)
-0.4%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
52.3% (88)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
42.4% (125)
+1.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Johnston is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Dowd
Johnston
Home
51.5% (619)
52.8% (458)
Away
48.1% (576)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Dowd
Johnston
P1
51.7%
48.9%
P2
51.6%
52.3%
P3
47.0%
51.4%
OT
22.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |