Scouting Report
Nic Petan holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Petan wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Petan 45.7% vs Wilson 42.4% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Wilson 52.9%
Defensive zone
Petan 50.0%
Neutral zone
Wilson 50.1%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Petan
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Petan
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (416)
40.7% (241)
+4.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
38.5% (65)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.3% (104)
-41.3%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Petan is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Petan shoots left. Wilson is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Petan
Wilson
Home
42.3% (196)
33.7% (187)
Away
46.6% (247)
46.2% (223)
By Period
Petan
Wilson
P1
51.9%
42.0%
P2
45.0%
44.4%
P3
35.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.5%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Wilson
38.0%▬
39.0%
40.5%