Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Bjugstad
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 86.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Pageau
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Pageau
Bjugstad
Last 7: Pageau 7-0 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
50.7% (906)
+6.4%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
48.1% (108)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
44.4% (239)
+3.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bjugstad
Home
57.0% (618)
49.8% (643)
Away
53.9% (607)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Pageau
Bjugstad
P1
54.4%
49.4%
P2
61.0%
50.5%
P3
51.0%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |