Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.2% vs 47.4%). Rooney wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.8% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 77.9%
Defensive zone
Rooney 68.2%
Neutral zone
Rooney 50.3%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Rooney
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rooney
Bjugstad
Last 5: Rooney 3-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
0
Rooney
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rooney
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (319)
46.7% (398)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
51.6% (31)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (87)
62.5% (8)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Rooney is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Rooney shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Rooney
Bjugstad
Home
45.8% (203)
47.3% (220)
Away
48.6% (210)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Rooney
Bjugstad
P1
47.2%
46.1%
P2
55.0%
46.3%
P3
37.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |