Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.6% vs Bjugstad 51.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 68.9%
Defensive zone
Richards 56.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Richards
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Richards
Bjugstad
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
1
Richards
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
4
2
Richards
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (352)
50.4% (752)
-0.7%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
60.6% (104)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (116)
58.3% (12)
-9.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Richards is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Richards shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Richards
Bjugstad
Home
49.4% (247)
52.9% (461)
Away
49.6% (228)
50.4% (407)
By Period
Richards
Bjugstad
P1
53.8%
51.5%
P2
47.7%
53.8%
P3
47.3%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mike Richards |