Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 55.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Last 10: Bjugstad 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Bjugstad
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bjugstad
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
10
Bjugstad
Suzuki
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
49.4% (6,368)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
50.8% (1,355)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
44.0% (466)
+0.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Bjugstad shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Suzuki
Home
49.8% (4,023)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Bjugstad
Suzuki
P1
48.9%
48.9%
P2
49.1%
49.1%
P3
48.5%
50.3%
OT
61.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |