Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.2%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Zacha 49.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 53.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Bjugstad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Bjugstad
Zacha
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
7
Bjugstad
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bjugstad
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Bjugstad
Zacha
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
48.9% (5,156)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
55.7% (813)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
42.2% (557)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Bjugstad shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Zacha
Home
49.8% (4,023)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Bjugstad
Zacha
P1
48.9%
49.9%
P2
49.1%
49.2%
P3
48.5%
48.2%
OT
61.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |