Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Krebs 45.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 62.9%
Defensive zone
Krebs 63.7%
Neutral zone
Krebs 63.3%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Bjugstad
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Bjugstad
Krebs
Last 10: Bjugstad 3-7 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Bjugstad
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
4
Bjugstad
Krebs
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
4
Bjugstad
Krebs
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
46.0% (2,174)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
52.5% (101)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
38.6% (171)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Bjugstad shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Krebs
Home
49.8% (4,023)
45.6% (1,199)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Bjugstad
Krebs
P1
48.9%
45.9%
P2
49.1%
46.5%
P3
48.5%
44.7%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |