Scouting Report
Robby Fabbri holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Fabbri 54.5% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 65.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 92.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 64.1%
Result
Robby Fabbri favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Bjugstad
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bjugstad
Fabbri
Last 5: Bjugstad 1-4 Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
0
4
Bjugstad
Fabbri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Fabbri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
48.2% (56)
+2.5%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
68.3% (63)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
0.0% (1)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Fabbri is 64.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Fabbri
Home
49.8% (643)
56.5% (69)
Away
48.7% (610)
60.8% (51)
By Period
Bjugstad
Fabbri
P1
49.4%
48.6%
P2
50.5%
60.4%
P3
47.9%
65.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
63.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.2%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |