Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 21-14 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 65.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 78.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 79.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Bjugstad
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
21
(35 meetings)
14
21
Bjugstad
Kesler
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
7
Bjugstad
Kesler
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
3
Bjugstad
Kesler
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
11
Bjugstad
Kesler
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
56.4% (8,095)
-7.8%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
60.7% (1,437)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.2%
On even strength, Kesler has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Bjugstad shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Kesler
Home
49.8% (4,023)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Bjugstad
Kesler
P1
48.9%
56.5%
P2
49.1%
55.9%
P3
48.5%
56.1%
OT
61.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |