Nick Bjugstad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 70.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
46.0% (250)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
70.6% (17)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
31.8% (22)
+15.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.7% (193)
50.3% (175)
Away
50.4% (141)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Bjugstad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
41.5%
48.5%
P2
57.3%
45.9%
P3
50.0%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |