Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.5% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 62.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (292)
55.7% (856)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
57.5% (233)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
50.0% (144)
-2.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Bjugstad shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
Home
48.7% (193)
55.5% (616)
Away
50.4% (141)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Bjugstad
O'Reilly
P1
41.5%
58.1%
P2
57.3%
54.9%
P3
50.0%
53.9%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%