Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Koivu 51.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 69.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 61.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Bjugstad
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Bjugstad
Koivu
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Bjugstad
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Bjugstad
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
2
Bjugstad
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,646)
51.9% (3,221)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
59.3% (437)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
48.0% (764)
-3.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Bjugstad shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Koivu
Home
49.8% (4,023)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
48.1% (4,066)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Bjugstad
Koivu
P1
48.9%
51.1%
P2
49.1%
52.6%
P3
48.5%
51.8%
OT
61.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |