Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 66.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 76.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 63.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Bonino
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bonino
Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Bonino
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Bonino
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
63.8% (1,102)
-12.1%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
65.3% (288)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
47.6% (210)
-3.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Bonino
Bergeron
Home
48.2% (461)
62.5% (882)
Away
54.5% (464)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Bonino
Bergeron
P1
54.1%
62.5%
P2
49.7%
62.7%
P3
50.7%
60.6%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |