Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Brown 54.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 77.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 54.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Bonino
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bonino
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Brown
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Bonino
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
56.5% (726)
-5.9%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
62.5% (8)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
47.8% (136)
-3.2%
On power play, Brown has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Bonino
Brown
Home
51.2% (5,507)
57.4% (364)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Bonino
Brown
P1
50.6%
51.4%
P2
48.5%
54.6%
P3
51.1%
58.8%
OT
45.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |