Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Elias 42.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 80.8%
Defensive zone
Elias 66.1%
Neutral zone
Elias 71.4%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Bonino
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Bonino
Elias
Last 10: Bonino 6-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
4
Bonino
Elias
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
2
Bonino
Elias
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
2
5
Bonino
Elias
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
42.3% (2,591)
+8.3%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
48.4% (405)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
36.0% (367)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Bonino
Elias
Home
51.2% (5,507)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Bonino
Elias
P1
50.6%
41.1%
P2
48.5%
43.1%
P3
51.1%
43.0%
OT
45.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |