Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.2%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Zacha 49.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 25-18 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 61.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Bonino
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
18
(43 meetings)
25
18
Bonino
Zacha
Last 10: Bonino 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
9
8
Bonino
Zacha
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
12
3
Bonino
Zacha
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
7
Bonino
Zacha
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
48.9% (5,156)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
55.7% (813)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
42.2% (557)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Bonino
Zacha
Home
51.2% (5,507)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Bonino
Zacha
P1
50.6%
49.9%
P2
48.5%
49.2%
P3
51.1%
48.2%
OT
45.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 03:56 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 6, 2021 | OT | 01:52 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 05:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |