Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.4%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs McLeod 49.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 61.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 59.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Bonino
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Bonino
McLeod
Last 9: Bonino 6-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Bonino
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
1
Bonino
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
50.4% (3,376)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
50.7% (296)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
44.1% (644)
+0.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Bonino
McLeod
Home
51.2% (5,507)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Bonino
McLeod
P1
50.6%
50.8%
P2
48.5%
48.0%
P3
51.1%
50.0%
OT
45.7%
37.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |