Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Carrick 52.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 78.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 64.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Bonino
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Bonino
Carrick
Last 10: Bonino 2-8 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
3
Bonino
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Bonino
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Bonino
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
52.2% (2,544)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
61.3% (75)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
50.8% (435)
-6.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Bonino
Carrick
Home
51.2% (5,507)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Bonino
Carrick
P1
50.6%
51.8%
P2
48.5%
52.3%
P3
51.1%
52.6%
OT
45.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |