Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 26-21 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 80.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Bonino
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
21
(47 meetings)
26
21
Bonino
Stamkos
Last 10: Bonino 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
9
Bonino
Stamkos
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
16
6
Bonino
Stamkos
22 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Bonino
Stamkos
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
50.5% (9,825)
+0.1%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
55.2% (1,729)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
49.6% (827)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Bonino
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (5,507)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Bonino
Stamkos
P1
50.6%
49.2%
P2
48.5%
52.7%
P3
51.1%
50.9%
OT
45.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |