Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Hertl 54.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 43-30 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 65.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 85.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 75.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Bonino
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
43
(73 meetings)
30
43
Bonino
Hertl
Last 10: Bonino 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
25
Bonino
Hertl
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
19
12
Bonino
Hertl
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
6
Bonino
Hertl
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
53.9% (8,303)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
59.2% (1,995)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
46.3% (806)
-1.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Bonino
Hertl
Home
51.2% (5,507)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Bonino
Hertl
P1
50.6%
53.6%
P2
48.5%
54.2%
P3
51.1%
55.3%
OT
45.7%
46.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2021 | OT | 01:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |