Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
William Karlsson favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Bonino
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Bonino
Karlsson
Last 8: Bonino 3-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Bonino
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
55.3% (897)
-7.2%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
61.1% (113)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
50.8% (132)
-6.5%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Bonino
Karlsson
Home
52.0% (244)
58.6% (560)
Away
43.7% (206)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Bonino
Karlsson
P1
48.0%
55.8%
P2
42.9%
55.6%
P3
53.9%
55.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | William Karlsson |