Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Johnston 49.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 56.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Bonino
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bonino
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Bonino
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
49.1% (2,232)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
52.5% (179)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
44.7% (237)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Bonino
Johnston
Home
51.2% (5,507)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Bonino
Johnston
P1
50.6%
50.0%
P2
48.5%
48.1%
P3
51.1%
48.6%
OT
45.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |