Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Foligno 49.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 55.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 85.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 66.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Point
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Point
Foligno
Last 7: Point 5-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
49.5% (291)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
55.8% (43)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
47.2% (53)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Point
Foligno
Home
46.6% (264)
48.9% (178)
Away
46.4% (302)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Point
Foligno
P1
46.3%
43.0%
P2
45.5%
55.9%
P3
48.6%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |