Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 81.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 65.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 72.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Foligno
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
46.8% (301)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
80.0% (10)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
43.5% (85)
+3.7%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Foligno shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Foligno
Sundqvist
Home
48.9% (178)
46.0% (189)
Away
50.7% (209)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Foligno
Sundqvist
P1
43.0%
44.7%
P2
55.9%
47.6%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |