Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Byfield 45.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 57.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Foligno
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Foligno
Byfield
Last 5: Foligno 3-2 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Foligno
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
46.8% (801)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
50.8% (59)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
35.9% (153)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Foligno shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Foligno
Byfield
Home
48.9% (178)
46.3% (462)
Away
50.7% (209)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Foligno
Byfield
P1
43.0%
44.6%
P2
55.9%
43.4%
P3
50.0%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
37.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |