Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Colton 49.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 58.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 71.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 59.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Foligno
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
47.3% (91)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
71.4% (7)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
0.0% (1)
+47.2%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Foligno shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Foligno
Colton
Home
48.9% (178)
46.9% (49)
Away
50.7% (209)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Foligno
Colton
P1
43.0%
56.4%
P2
55.9%
47.1%
P3
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |