Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+8.6%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 69.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 76.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Foligno
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
42.6% (54)
+6.9%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
33.3% (6)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
40.0% (15)
+7.2%
On power play, Foligno has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Foligno shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Foligno
Jarvis
Home
48.9% (178)
43.6% (39)
Away
50.7% (209)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Foligno
Jarvis
P1
43.0%
36.0%
P2
55.9%
48.3%
P3
50.0%
36.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%