Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Johnson 50.7% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 73.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Foligno
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
47.4% (78)
+4.6%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
57.6% (33)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Foligno shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johnson
Home
51.2% (41)
50.9% (57)
Away
61.3% (31)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Foligno
Johnson
P1
55.6%
44.1%
P2
48.0%
59.4%
P3
65.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
81.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
55.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%