Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 78.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 55.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 61.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Foligno
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
58.0% (666)
-8.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
64.8% (165)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
43.4% (152)
+3.8%
On power play, Trocheck has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Foligno shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Foligno
Trocheck
Home
48.9% (178)
55.3% (436)
Away
50.7% (209)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Foligno
Trocheck
P1
43.0%
56.4%
P2
55.9%
58.7%
P3
50.0%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |