Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 51.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 78.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Paul
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Paul
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
51.3% (945)
+2.4%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
50.7% (282)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
40.3% (67)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Paul shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Paul
Suzuki
Home
55.1% (216)
51.0% (637)
Away
53.6% (233)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Paul
Suzuki
P1
54.9%
53.1%
P2
54.5%
47.4%
P3
54.3%
51.3%
OT
44.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |