Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 29-17 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 95.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 89.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 93.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Paul
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
29
(46 meetings)
17
29
Paul
Bergeron
Last 10: Paul 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
16
Paul
Bergeron
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
9
8
Paul
Bergeron
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
5
Paul
Bergeron
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
60.1% (13,938)
-7.5%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
60.8% (3,213)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
53.0% (2,776)
-6.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,791).
Paul shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Paul
Bergeron
Home
52.8% (2,445)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Paul
Bergeron
P1
53.8%
59.3%
P2
51.0%
60.0%
P3
52.2%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |