Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 55.0%). Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Danault 54.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 69.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 54.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 50.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Paul
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Paul
Danault
Last 8: Paul 1-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Paul
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Paul
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
5
Paul
Danault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
56.2% (745)
-2.5%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
45.1% (51)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
51.6% (124)
+1.3%
On power play, Paul has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Paul
Danault
Home
55.1% (216)
56.7% (402)
Away
53.6% (233)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Paul
Danault
P1
54.9%
55.5%
P2
54.5%
54.2%
P3
54.3%
55.2%
OT
44.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |