Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.2%). Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 23 meetings). Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Danault 53.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 38-38 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 56.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 51.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Paul
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
38
(76 meetings)
38
38
Paul
Danault
Last 10: Paul 3-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
17
13
Paul
Danault
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
8
15
Paul
Danault
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
13
10
Paul
Danault
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
53.6% (9,481)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
61.3% (758)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
47.4% (1,710)
-0.5%
On power play, Danault has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Paul shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Home / Away
Paul
Danault
Home
52.8% (2,445)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Paul
Danault
P1
53.8%
53.7%
P2
51.0%
53.4%
P3
52.2%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |