Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Holmberg 45.4% (+17.8%)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 60.6%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 55.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Paul
Holmberg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
36.7% (49)
+17.0%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
0.0% (1)
+59.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
50.0% (2)
+2.9%
On power play, Paul has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Holmberg is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Paul
Holmberg
Home
55.1% (216)
33.3% (36)
Away
53.6% (233)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Paul
Holmberg
P1
54.9%
62.5%
P2
54.5%
20.0%
P3
54.3%
31.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
36.5%