Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 66.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Paul
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Paul
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
53.3% (1,025)
+0.4%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
64.7% (249)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
60.0% (15)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Paul shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Paul
Crosby
Home
55.1% (216)
56.9% (675)
Away
53.6% (233)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Paul
Crosby
P1
54.9%
55.1%
P2
54.5%
53.1%
P3
54.3%
58.5%
OT
44.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
57.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |