Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Thompson 45.2% (+9.7%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 54.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Paul
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
44.6% (661)
+9.1%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
48.4% (95)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
33.3% (33)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Paul shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Paul
Thompson
Home
55.1% (216)
45.7% (411)
Away
53.6% (233)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Paul
Thompson
P1
54.9%
47.7%
P2
54.5%
45.7%
P3
54.3%
40.5%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.7%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%