Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Teravainen 45.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 53.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 85.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 70.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Paul
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paul
Teravainen
Last 5: Paul 3-2 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Paul
Teravainen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Teravainen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Teravainen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
45.4% (1,214)
+7.2%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
41.8% (170)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
40.5% (84)
+6.4%
On power play, Paul has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Paul shoots left. Teravainen is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Paul
Teravainen
Home
52.8% (2,445)
47.2% (741)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
42.1% (727)
By Period
Paul
Teravainen
P1
53.8%
47.6%
P2
51.0%
42.3%
P3
52.2%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
29.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Teravainen
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |