Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.6%). Paul wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Paul 53.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Paul
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (354)
53.2% (201)
+0.5%
Power Play
59.0% (61)
60.0% (25)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
44.4% (9)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Paul shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Paul
Seguin
Home
55.1% (216)
56.3% (126)
Away
53.6% (233)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Paul
Seguin
P1
54.9%
44.3%
P2
54.5%
52.1%
P3
54.3%
62.5%
OT
44.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%