Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 34.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 46.2% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 59.4%
Defensive zone
Boeser 56.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Boeser
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Boeser
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Boeser
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (111)
45.9% (697)
-5.4%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
47.9% (117)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
48.0% (25)
+52.0%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Boeser is 34.4% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Boeser shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Boeser
Schmaltz
Home
41.3% (63)
44.9% (434)
Away
45.2% (62)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Boeser
Schmaltz
P1
40.0%
41.5%
P2
51.1%
46.7%
P3
34.4%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
40.5%
43.2%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |