Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Hischier 55.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.4%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 50.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 66.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Schmaltz
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Schmaltz
Hischier
Last 9: Schmaltz 3-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
0
Schmaltz
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Schmaltz
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Schmaltz
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
55.5% (1,172)
-9.6%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
64.5% (265)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
43.9% (164)
+4.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Schmaltz shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Hischier
Home
44.9% (434)
56.8% (791)
Away
47.7% (405)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Schmaltz
Hischier
P1
41.5%
56.0%
P2
46.7%
58.6%
P3
51.1%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |