Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gregor on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Gregor 40.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 75.9%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 61.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 60.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Schmaltz
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schmaltz
Gregor
Last 6: Schmaltz 4-2 Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gregor
1
2
Schmaltz
Gregor
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Gregor
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Gregor
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
36.6% (202)
+4.7%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
28.6% (14)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
0.0% (1)
+47.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gregor is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gregor
Home
42.8% (2,114)
36.2% (116)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gregor
P1
41.3%
36.8%
P2
42.8%
28.0%
P3
43.1%
45.5%
OT
42.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Noah Gregor |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Noah Gregor |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |