Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Acciari 51.2% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 86.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 91.7%
Neutral zone
Acciari 70.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Schmaltz
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Schmaltz
Acciari
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
7
0
Schmaltz
Acciari
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
7
Schmaltz
Acciari
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
52.8% (3,304)
-11.5%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
48.3% (87)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
47.0% (1,073)
+0.4%
On even strength, Acciari has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Schmaltz shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,196).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Acciari
Home
42.8% (2,114)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Schmaltz
Acciari
P1
41.3%
52.3%
P2
42.8%
51.5%
P3
43.1%
50.2%
OT
42.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |