Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 47.0%). Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.8%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 87.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 56.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Last 9: Schmaltz 7-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
6
1
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
46.8% (301)
-0.9%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
80.0% (10)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
43.5% (85)
+4.5%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Schmaltz shoots right. Sundqvist is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Home
44.9% (434)
46.0% (189)
Away
47.7% (405)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
P1
41.5%
44.7%
P2
46.7%
47.6%
P3
51.1%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |