Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 47.4%). Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Schmaltz wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 47.1% vs Sundqvist 48.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.3%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 89.7%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 64.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Last 9: Schmaltz 7-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
6
1
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (484)
47.2% (284)
-0.7%
Power Play
47.5% (99)
80.0% (10)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
43.7% (71)
+3.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Schmaltz is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Schmaltz shoots right. Sundqvist is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
Home
45.3% (298)
45.4% (185)
Away
48.0% (300)
49.4% (180)
By Period
Schmaltz
Sundqvist
P1
40.4%
44.6%
P2
46.8%
48.5%
P3
53.4%
49.5%
Final 5 min
41.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |