Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 48.4% vs Stastny 55.4% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 64.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 65.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 61.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Schmaltz
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (133)
59.2% (370)
-16.3%
Power Play
55.1% (89)
40.9% (44)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
51.7% (58)
-4.6%
On even strength, Stastny has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Schmaltz shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Stastny
Home
41.6% (125)
57.7% (215)
Away
54.4% (114)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Schmaltz
Stastny
P1
40.0%
57.7%
P2
59.5%
54.2%
P3
45.0%
57.7%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
47.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%