Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Danault 54.5% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 90.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 67.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Schmaltz
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schmaltz
Danault
Last 5: Schmaltz 3-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Schmaltz
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
56.2% (745)
-10.3%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
45.1% (51)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
51.6% (124)
-3.6%
On even strength, Danault has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Schmaltz shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Danault
Home
44.9% (434)
56.7% (402)
Away
47.7% (405)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Schmaltz
Danault
P1
41.5%
55.5%
P2
46.7%
54.2%
P3
51.1%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
40.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |