Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 45.4%). Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Byfield 45.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Byfield leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 77.2%
Defensive zone
Byfield 75.5%
Neutral zone
Byfield 51.4%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Schmaltz
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Schmaltz
Byfield
Last 10: Schmaltz 4-6 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
3
Schmaltz
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
5
7
Schmaltz
Byfield
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
46.8% (801)
-0.9%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
50.8% (59)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
35.9% (153)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Schmaltz shoots right. Byfield is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Byfield
Home
44.9% (434)
46.3% (462)
Away
47.7% (405)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Schmaltz
Byfield
P1
41.5%
44.6%
P2
46.7%
43.4%
P3
51.1%
48.7%
OT
0.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
40.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |