Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Byfield 44.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 77.6%
Defensive zone
Byfield 70.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.3%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Schmaltz
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schmaltz
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Byfield
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
44.5% (853)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
42.9% (21)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
38.2% (68)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Schmaltz shoots right. Byfield is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Byfield
Home
49.0% (206)
43.8% (502)
Away
49.4% (170)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Schmaltz
Byfield
P1
53.6%
44.2%
P2
46.2%
43.0%
P3
50.4%
45.0%
OT
16.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
49.2%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |