Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Vrbata shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Vrbata 40.9% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Vrbata 52.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 60.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Schmaltz
Vrbata
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Vrbata
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
34.2% (184)
+7.1%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
45.2% (42)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
50.0% (14)
-2.6%
On even strength, Schmaltz has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vrbata shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Schmaltz shoots right. Vrbata is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Vrbata
Home
42.8% (2,114)
32.3% (124)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
42.2% (116)
By Period
Schmaltz
Vrbata
P1
41.3%
31.0%
P2
42.8%
38.5%
P3
43.1%
43.8%
OT
42.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Vrbata
30.0%▼
36.0%
37.1%