Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Greig 49.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 92.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 60.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 75.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Schmaltz
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Schmaltz
Greig
Last 10: Schmaltz 3-7 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
1
Schmaltz
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
6
Schmaltz
Greig
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Schmaltz
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
48.7% (1,144)
-7.4%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
56.8% (74)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
47.2% (178)
+0.2%
On power play, Greig has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Schmaltz shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Greig
Home
42.8% (2,114)
49.9% (688)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Schmaltz
Greig
P1
41.3%
46.0%
P2
42.8%
51.8%
P3
43.1%
49.1%
OT
42.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
42.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |